Race 11A

maisa-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Caroline Patten 25.0% 22.5% 18.2% 16.4% 8.5% 6.3% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
James Allsopp 8.3% 11.4% 14.8% 14.8% 17.9% 16.7% 10.0% 5.2% 0.9% 0.0%
Harry Scott 26.0% 21.2% 18.8% 13.7% 12.0% 5.4% 2.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Evan Siepert 15.8% 15.4% 16.5% 16.8% 15.1% 11.4% 6.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Graham Gardner 11.8% 15.8% 14.9% 13.8% 15.6% 14.0% 8.6% 4.6% 0.9% 0.0%
Billy Hluchan 6.0% 6.9% 9.2% 12.2% 15.2% 19.8% 18.1% 10.8% 1.8% 0.0%
Andrew Bergan 3.3% 3.5% 3.7% 6.1% 7.3% 13.3% 25.4% 27.1% 10.3% 0.0%
Geoff Williams 2.6% 2.6% 2.5% 4.5% 6.5% 9.4% 19.7% 32.2% 20.0% 0.0%
Geoff Williams 2.6% 2.6% 2.5% 4.5% 6.5% 9.4% 19.7% 32.2% 20.0% 0.0%
Elizabeth Siegal 1.2% 0.7% 1.4% 1.7% 1.9% 3.7% 6.8% 17.1% 65.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.