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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.96+4.30vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.74+1.63vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.42+3.81vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.49+0.45vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.93+0.66vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.12+2.22vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College0.83-0.96vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.30-0.32vs Predicted
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9Williams College-1.24+3.43vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.38-2.52vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College0.18-2.94vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University-1.01-0.51vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.52+0.14vs Predicted
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14Boston University-0.64-3.32vs Predicted
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15Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.33-2.42vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-1.69-2.60vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.07-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.3Tufts University0.9611.3%1st Place
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3.63Boston College1.7421.9%1st Place
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6.81Fairfield University0.426.3%1st Place
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4.45Northwestern University1.4915.8%1st Place
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5.66Tufts University0.9310.3%1st Place
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8.22Northeastern University0.124.8%1st Place
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6.04Dartmouth College0.838.3%1st Place
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7.68University of Rhode Island0.305.0%1st Place
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12.43Williams College-1.240.9%1st Place
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7.48Tufts University0.385.2%1st Place
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8.06Dartmouth College0.184.5%1st Place
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11.49Salve Regina University-1.011.8%1st Place
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13.14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.520.8%1st Place
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10.68Boston University-0.641.6%1st Place
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12.58Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.330.9%1st Place
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13.4Middlebury College-1.690.5%1st Place
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15.94University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.070.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Garrido | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Budington | 21.9% | 18.6% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shea Smith | 15.8% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 10.3% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rooks | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Long | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Willem Weinberg | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Von Lehe | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 4.5% |
| Harry Kaya Prager | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Garrett Moen | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 2.4% |
| Patrick Whyte | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 17.3% | 20.1% | 8.2% |
| Josh Sultanik | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Christopher Fletcher | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 5.9% |
| Dalyan Yet | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 17.2% | 22.6% | 11.8% |
| Alan Andonian | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 13.5% | 66.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.