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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.99+9.10vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.98+4.60vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.29+2.62vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.21+4.47vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.85+1.30vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.34+2.10vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.93-1.11vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.74-1.33vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.09-0.14vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-5.85vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-3.28vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.63-4.70vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.40-4.88vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-6.17vs Predicted
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16University of Miami2.83-8.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.1University of South Florida1.990.0%1st Place
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6.6Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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5.62Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.47Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.3Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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9.1Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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6.89College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
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7.67Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.86U. S. Naval Academy2.090.0%1st Place
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5.15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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8.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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8.3Roger Williams University2.630.1%1st Place
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9.12Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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8.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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7.26University of Miami2.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Jones | 4.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 20.3% |
| Mariel Marchand | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Emily Billing | 12.2% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% |
| Erica Lush | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 12.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% |
| Elise Gehling | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 7.3% |
| Kayla Gibson | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% |
| Emma Ferris | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 14.1% |
| Mayumi Roller | 13.5% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Brooke Lyon | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% |
| Abby Preston | 5.4% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% |
| Rachel Austin | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.