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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.42+5.78vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.93+3.52vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College0.83+3.08vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.96+1.53vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.49-0.60vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.74-2.33vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.30+0.52vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.12+0.18vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.38-1.48vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College0.18-1.65vs Predicted
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11Boston University-0.64-0.18vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University-1.01-0.43vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.52+0.21vs Predicted
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14Williams College-1.24-1.56vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-1.69-1.23vs Predicted
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16Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.33-3.23vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.27-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.78Fairfield University0.426.2%1st Place
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5.52Tufts University0.9311.7%1st Place
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6.08Dartmouth College0.839.2%1st Place
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5.53Tufts University0.968.6%1st Place
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4.4Northwestern University1.4915.3%1st Place
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3.67Boston College1.7422.1%1st Place
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7.52University of Rhode Island0.305.5%1st Place
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8.18Northeastern University0.124.5%1st Place
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7.52Tufts University0.385.8%1st Place
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8.35Dartmouth College0.183.5%1st Place
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10.82Boston University-0.641.8%1st Place
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11.57Salve Regina University-1.011.5%1st Place
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13.21University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.521.1%1st Place
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12.44Williams College-1.241.4%1st Place
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13.77Middlebury College-1.690.6%1st Place
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12.77Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.330.9%1st Place
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14.88University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.270.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Cooper | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 11.7% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Long | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Garrido | 8.6% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shea Smith | 15.3% | 16.3% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Budington | 22.1% | 17.9% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Willem Weinberg | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Rooks | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Harry Kaya Prager | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Josh Sultanik | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Garrett Moen | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 4.0% |
| Patrick Whyte | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 17.1% | 16.3% | 14.7% |
| Alex Von Lehe | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 7.8% |
| Dalyan Yet | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 20.1% | 19.8% |
| Christopher Fletcher | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 10.3% |
| Carissa Keung | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 19.8% | 41.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.