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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+4.02vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.63+5.80vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.83+4.23vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.93+2.91vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.29+0.77vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.40+2.87vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.74+0.52vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+0.95vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.99+1.28vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.09-0.96vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.85-4.77vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.34-3.71vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-5.07vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.21-5.51vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.98-9.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.02St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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7.8Roger Williams University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.23University of Miami2.830.1%1st Place
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6.91College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
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5.77Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.87Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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7.52Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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10.28University of South Florida1.990.0%1st Place
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10.04U. S. Naval Academy2.090.0%1st Place
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7.23Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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9.29Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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9.49Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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6.67Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mayumi Roller | 14.4% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% |
| Abby Preston | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 3.9% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| Kayla Gibson | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
| Emily Billing | 12.1% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Rachel Austin | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.0% |
| Sydney Jones | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 17.7% |
| Emma Ferris | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 16.2% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Elise Gehling | 4.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% |
| Brooke Lyon | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% |
| Erica Lush | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 12.1% |
| Mariel Marchand | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.