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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University0.82+5.06vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame0.99+3.52vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.12+2.20vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.45+3.06vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago1.01+0.79vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.36-1.10vs Predicted
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7University of Saint Thomas0.88-0.94vs Predicted
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8Hillsdale College1.04-2.27vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University0.74-2.32vs Predicted
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10Purdue University1.04-4.36vs Predicted
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11Marquette University0.32-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.06Indiana University0.829.0%1st Place
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5.52University of Notre Dame0.9910.2%1st Place
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5.2University of Michigan1.1211.8%1st Place
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7.06Northwestern University0.455.8%1st Place
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5.79University of Chicago1.0110.2%1st Place
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4.9University of Wisconsin1.3613.6%1st Place
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6.06University of Saint Thomas0.887.8%1st Place
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5.73Hillsdale College1.048.6%1st Place
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6.68Michigan State University0.746.9%1st Place
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5.64Purdue University1.0410.7%1st Place
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7.35Marquette University0.325.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Hultquist | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% |
| Joe Serpa | 11.8% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 17.5% |
| Max Zhalilo | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% |
| Reed Weston | 13.6% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Greg Bittle | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.5% |
| Arden Carleton | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.8% |
| Luke Koerschner | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 13.0% |
| Justin Skene | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.3% |
| Brittany Shabino | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.