Race 10B

navy-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Mary Kate Mezzetti 8.1% 6.6% 7.6% 7.4% 6.3% 7.7% 7.7% 6.1% 6.8% 7.4% 7.3% 6.3% 5.9% 3.8% 5.0%
Devon Rohde 4.8% 4.7% 5.7% 6.1% 6.5% 6.0% 7.1% 6.3% 5.5% 8.3% 5.7% 8.7% 8.5% 8.1% 8.0%
Emily Billing 12.4% 11.5% 10.1% 10.6% 9.0% 10.3% 6.8% 7.2% 6.3% 5.2% 3.6% 3.0% 2.3% 1.4% 0.3%
Mayumi Roller 14.0% 14.3% 12.9% 9.9% 9.3% 8.3% 7.1% 6.2% 5.7% 4.4% 3.2% 1.9% 1.5% 1.1% 0.2%
Kayla Gibson 8.0% 8.3% 8.2% 6.9% 9.0% 6.7% 6.3% 9.8% 8.4% 5.7% 6.2% 5.3% 5.0% 3.6% 2.6%
Rachel Austin 4.6% 5.2% 4.9% 5.2% 5.0% 5.4% 6.3% 7.2% 7.0% 7.8% 8.6% 7.3% 8.0% 10.7% 6.8%
Taylor Scheuermann 8.2% 6.7% 7.5% 8.0% 7.1% 8.0% 8.0% 6.7% 8.1% 7.2% 6.5% 5.9% 4.0% 5.0% 3.1%
Jennifer Borshoff 7.8% 8.7% 6.5% 7.6% 6.9% 8.0% 7.9% 6.9% 6.6% 7.2% 7.3% 6.5% 4.5% 4.8% 2.8%
Emma Ferris 3.3% 3.2% 4.2% 4.0% 3.8% 5.1% 5.2% 6.3% 6.0% 7.2% 8.4% 8.8% 9.0% 11.0% 14.5%
Abby Preston 5.7% 4.4% 6.6% 6.5% 7.9% 7.2% 6.5% 7.0% 8.5% 7.4% 7.4% 6.2% 6.8% 6.3% 5.6%
Elise Gehling 4.0% 5.4% 5.1% 5.6% 5.4% 4.7% 7.7% 5.7% 6.8% 5.4% 7.4% 8.4% 8.9% 8.0% 11.5%
Mariel Marchand 7.6% 7.9% 8.0% 8.8% 8.5% 7.4% 6.9% 7.4% 7.5% 7.6% 6.1% 4.8% 6.2% 3.3% 2.0%
Brooke Lyon 4.6% 5.1% 5.2% 4.4% 5.9% 6.2% 5.2% 6.4% 5.6% 6.9% 10.2% 8.0% 9.7% 8.6% 8.0%
Sydney Jones 2.8% 3.6% 3.3% 4.1% 4.5% 4.4% 5.3% 4.9% 4.9% 5.5% 6.9% 9.1% 10.0% 12.5% 18.2%
Erica Lush 4.1% 4.4% 4.2% 4.9% 4.9% 4.6% 6.0% 5.9% 6.3% 6.8% 5.2% 9.8% 9.7% 11.8% 11.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.