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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.74+6.58vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.85+5.01vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.93+3.87vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.98+2.75vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.29+0.80vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.63+2.02vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.40+0.81vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.83-1.71vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-1.15vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-5.86vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.09-2.07vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.99-2.45vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-5.06vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.34-5.96vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.21-6.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.58Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.01Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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6.87College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
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6.75Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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5.8Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.02Roger Williams University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.81Old Dominion University2.400.1%1st Place
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7.29University of Miami2.830.1%1st Place
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8.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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5.14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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9.93U. S. Naval Academy2.090.0%1st Place
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10.55University of South Florida1.990.0%1st Place
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8.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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9.04Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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9.43Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 7.9% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Kayla Gibson | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Mariel Marchand | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Emily Billing | 12.1% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Abby Preston | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.7% |
| Rachel Austin | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% |
| Mayumi Roller | 13.3% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Emma Ferris | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 17.6% |
| Sydney Jones | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 20.1% |
| Brooke Lyon | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% |
| Elise Gehling | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% |
| Erica Lush | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.