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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Arden Carleton 11.0% 9.3% 9.1% 11.1% 9.0% 11.2% 8.1% 9.3% 9.2% 7.4% 5.1%
Joseph Gallagher 10.0% 9.7% 8.6% 11.4% 9.2% 9.6% 9.7% 10.5% 8.8% 7.8% 4.8%
Joe Serpa 11.1% 12.0% 12.5% 10.2% 10.4% 9.1% 8.9% 8.2% 7.8% 5.6% 4.1%
Reed Weston 14.1% 11.9% 13.0% 11.8% 11.2% 8.1% 9.3% 7.0% 6.6% 4.7% 2.3%
Justin Skene 10.1% 9.8% 9.7% 8.5% 12.2% 9.8% 10.8% 9.1% 8.9% 6.6% 4.5%
Greg Bittle 8.5% 9.7% 9.2% 8.8% 8.2% 10.2% 9.0% 9.2% 9.2% 9.6% 8.6%
Max Zhalilo 9.2% 10.0% 10.0% 8.9% 9.3% 8.8% 9.1% 9.6% 9.4% 8.8% 6.9%
Luke Koerschner 5.3% 6.6% 7.5% 8.2% 8.2% 8.9% 9.2% 9.2% 9.7% 12.4% 14.7%
John Hultquist 9.0% 8.5% 8.6% 7.0% 9.2% 9.8% 9.8% 9.7% 10.3% 9.2% 8.8%
Brittany Shabino 5.3% 5.2% 5.6% 6.5% 6.1% 7.8% 7.6% 8.8% 9.7% 14.6% 22.9%
Nikolas Chambers 6.2% 7.2% 6.2% 7.5% 6.7% 6.8% 8.5% 9.6% 10.3% 13.4% 17.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.