← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hillsdale College1.04+4.59vs Predicted
-
2University of Notre Dame0.99+3.66vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan1.12+2.20vs Predicted
-
4University of Wisconsin1.36+0.81vs Predicted
-
5Purdue University1.04+0.56vs Predicted
-
6University of Saint Thomas0.88+0.02vs Predicted
-
7University of Chicago1.01-1.17vs Predicted
-
8Michigan State University0.74-1.20vs Predicted
-
9Indiana University0.82-2.87vs Predicted
-
10Marquette University0.32-2.57vs Predicted
-
11Northwestern University0.45-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.59Hillsdale College1.0411.0%1st Place
-
5.66University of Notre Dame0.9910.0%1st Place
-
5.2University of Michigan1.1211.1%1st Place
-
4.81University of Wisconsin1.3614.1%1st Place
-
5.56Purdue University1.0410.1%1st Place
-
6.02University of Saint Thomas0.888.5%1st Place
-
5.83University of Chicago1.019.2%1st Place
-
6.8Michigan State University0.745.3%1st Place
-
6.13Indiana University0.829.0%1st Place
-
7.43Marquette University0.325.3%1st Place
-
6.99Northwestern University0.456.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Arden Carleton | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% |
Joseph Gallagher | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.8% |
Joe Serpa | 11.1% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% |
Reed Weston | 14.1% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
Justin Skene | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% |
Greg Bittle | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% |
Max Zhalilo | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% |
Luke Koerschner | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 14.7% |
John Hultquist | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% |
Brittany Shabino | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 22.9% |
Nikolas Chambers | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 17.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.