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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.85+6.12vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+2.93vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.29+2.61vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.74+3.57vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.93+2.05vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.40+2.88vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.98-0.26vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.83-1.69vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.63-2.10vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.99-0.64vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-3.07vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.34-3.70vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-5.08vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.09-5.09vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.21-6.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.12Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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4.93St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.2%1st Place
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5.61Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.57Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.05College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
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8.88Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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6.74Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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7.31University of Miami2.830.1%1st Place
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7.9Roger Williams University2.630.1%1st Place
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10.36University of South Florida1.990.0%1st Place
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8.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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9.3Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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9.91U. S. Naval Academy2.090.0%1st Place
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9.48Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Borshoff | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% |
| Mayumi Roller | 15.1% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emily Billing | 11.9% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% |
| Kayla Gibson | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Rachel Austin | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% |
| Mariel Marchand | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% |
| Abby Preston | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 3.4% |
| Sydney Jones | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 17.6% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% |
| Elise Gehling | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 11.2% |
| Brooke Lyon | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% |
| Emma Ferris | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 15.1% |
| Erica Lush | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 12.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.