Race 3A

mcsa-open-fleet-racing

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Reed Weston 10.9% 13.1% 12.0% 10.4% 10.7% 10.0% 9.0% 8.8% 6.7% 5.2% 3.2%
Greg Bittle 10.0% 9.6% 7.7% 9.2% 9.4% 8.6% 9.2% 9.3% 9.2% 9.8% 8.0%
Max Zhalilo 9.4% 8.9% 10.5% 10.8% 10.7% 9.2% 9.6% 8.7% 8.6% 7.5% 6.2%
Joe Serpa 13.1% 11.2% 12.2% 10.4% 11.3% 10.9% 7.9% 7.2% 6.5% 5.7% 3.5%
Joseph Gallagher 9.6% 10.0% 10.2% 9.6% 9.0% 9.7% 10.1% 9.5% 8.5% 7.3% 6.7%
Brittany Shabino 5.5% 5.2% 5.9% 5.7% 6.5% 7.2% 9.5% 9.2% 9.6% 13.7% 22.0%
John Hultquist 7.2% 9.0% 7.9% 9.8% 8.9% 9.2% 8.5% 9.6% 10.7% 9.8% 9.5%
Luke Koerschner 6.3% 6.0% 7.7% 7.3% 7.4% 8.9% 9.6% 9.8% 11.2% 12.1% 13.6%
Nikolas Chambers 6.1% 6.9% 6.3% 6.2% 6.6% 8.3% 8.2% 8.3% 11.7% 14.2% 17.0%
Justin Skene 11.2% 10.0% 9.4% 10.2% 9.8% 8.6% 9.1% 9.9% 9.7% 7.3% 4.8%
Arden Carleton 10.7% 10.3% 10.2% 10.4% 9.8% 9.3% 9.2% 9.6% 7.8% 7.3% 5.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.