Race 4A

mcsa-open-fleet-racing

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Greg Bittle 7.8% 9.7% 9.0% 7.6% 10.5% 9.2% 10.3% 9.5% 9.9% 9.3% 7.2%
Reed Weston 13.6% 12.6% 12.0% 10.3% 8.9% 10.1% 9.1% 8.0% 7.5% 5.2% 2.7%
Joe Serpa 12.3% 10.6% 10.5% 11.3% 9.9% 9.7% 10.2% 8.8% 7.4% 5.8% 3.5%
Nikolas Chambers 5.5% 5.2% 7.1% 8.0% 7.2% 8.7% 8.7% 8.8% 10.3% 12.5% 18.1%
Joseph Gallagher 10.4% 9.6% 8.6% 9.8% 10.2% 9.2% 8.5% 10.5% 9.0% 7.8% 6.3%
Max Zhalilo 9.7% 10.0% 10.1% 9.3% 10.2% 9.4% 9.3% 9.2% 9.4% 7.3% 6.2%
Arden Carleton 10.0% 10.3% 10.8% 11.6% 9.8% 9.8% 8.9% 8.6% 8.4% 7.0% 4.8%
John Hultquist 8.5% 7.9% 8.9% 8.2% 9.0% 9.4% 9.2% 10.5% 8.6% 11.0% 8.8%
Justin Skene 9.8% 11.2% 9.3% 10.8% 10.3% 9.4% 9.0% 8.1% 8.6% 7.5% 6.0%
Brittany Shabino 6.3% 6.3% 6.5% 5.9% 6.8% 7.6% 8.1% 8.4% 9.3% 13.4% 21.4%
Luke Koerschner 6.2% 6.8% 7.1% 7.1% 7.1% 7.6% 8.6% 9.8% 11.6% 13.2% 15.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.