Race 5A

mcsa-open-fleet-racing

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Arden Carleton 10.3% 9.7% 10.3% 9.8% 8.9% 10.1% 9.2% 9.8% 8.8% 7.3% 5.8%
Luke Koerschner 7.3% 7.0% 7.6% 8.0% 8.1% 8.6% 8.2% 9.8% 10.2% 12.2% 13.1%
John Hultquist 8.7% 8.6% 9.4% 7.4% 8.2% 9.5% 9.4% 9.3% 10.3% 10.0% 9.0%
Joe Serpa 13.2% 12.4% 11.8% 10.2% 10.3% 9.7% 9.0% 8.6% 5.9% 5.2% 3.5%
Reed Weston 13.2% 12.7% 11.2% 11.9% 12.2% 9.5% 8.8% 6.5% 6.2% 4.9% 3.0%
Greg Bittle 8.2% 9.3% 10.1% 8.2% 10.7% 10.5% 8.6% 9.2% 9.2% 8.3% 7.7%
Brittany Shabino 4.7% 6.2% 5.5% 7.0% 7.2% 6.9% 8.6% 9.7% 10.4% 14.2% 19.5%
Nikolas Chambers 6.6% 6.2% 6.9% 7.8% 6.0% 8.1% 9.5% 9.0% 10.4% 12.9% 16.7%
Joseph Gallagher 11.1% 9.7% 9.3% 10.7% 10.2% 9.3% 8.2% 9.4% 9.0% 7.4% 5.9%
Max Zhalilo 9.6% 9.8% 9.6% 9.8% 9.9% 8.9% 10.2% 9.4% 9.2% 7.8% 5.9%
Lukas Diehm 7.2% 8.4% 8.2% 9.2% 8.3% 8.8% 10.4% 9.5% 10.1% 9.8% 10.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.