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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.93+5.88vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+6.71vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.83+4.17vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+1.06vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.63+3.09vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.09+4.02vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.34+1.92vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.40+0.85vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-1.38vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.98-4.16vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.85-4.71vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.29-7.07vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.99-3.43vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.21-5.54vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.74-8.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.88College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
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8.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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7.17University of Miami2.830.1%1st Place
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5.06St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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8.09Roger Williams University2.630.1%1st Place
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10.02U. S. Naval Academy2.090.0%1st Place
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8.92Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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8.85Old Dominion University2.400.1%1st Place
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8.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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6.84Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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7.29Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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5.93Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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10.57University of South Florida1.990.0%1st Place
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9.46Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.58Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla Gibson | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% |
| Mayumi Roller | 14.8% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Abby Preston | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.6% |
| Emma Ferris | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 14.8% |
| Elise Gehling | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% |
| Rachel Austin | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% |
| Brooke Lyon | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 6.0% |
| Mariel Marchand | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% |
| Emily Billing | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Sydney Jones | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 21.8% |
| Erica Lush | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 12.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.