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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.12+4.21vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.36+2.84vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago1.01+2.63vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.32+3.34vs Predicted
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5University of Saint Thomas0.88+0.92vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.45+0.94vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame0.99-1.56vs Predicted
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8Purdue University0.85-1.65vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University0.74-2.34vs Predicted
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10Indiana University0.82-3.88vs Predicted
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11Hillsdale College1.04-5.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.21University of Michigan1.1211.2%1st Place
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4.84University of Wisconsin1.3613.8%1st Place
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5.63University of Chicago1.0110.0%1st Place
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7.34Marquette University0.325.3%1st Place
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5.92University of Saint Thomas0.889.4%1st Place
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6.94Northwestern University0.456.7%1st Place
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5.44University of Notre Dame0.9910.5%1st Place
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6.35Purdue University0.857.9%1st Place
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6.66Michigan State University0.746.3%1st Place
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6.12Indiana University0.828.0%1st Place
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5.55Hillsdale College1.0410.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Serpa | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% |
Reed Weston | 13.8% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
Max Zhalilo | 10.0% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% |
Brittany Shabino | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 21.1% |
Greg Bittle | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% |
Nikolas Chambers | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 16.6% |
Joseph Gallagher | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
Lukas Diehm | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.8% |
Luke Koerschner | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 12.9% |
John Hultquist | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% |
Arden Carleton | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.