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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.74+6.57vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.83+5.11vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.29+2.62vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+4.89vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+0.19vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.93+0.92vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.09+2.86vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.98-1.21vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.40-0.21vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.85-2.72vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.99-1.70vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-4.07vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.34-4.71vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.63-7.00vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.21-6.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.57Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.11University of Miami2.830.1%1st Place
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5.62Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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5.19St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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6.92College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
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9.86U. S. Naval Academy2.090.0%1st Place
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6.79Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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8.79Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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7.28Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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10.3University of South Florida1.990.0%1st Place
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8.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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9.29Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.0Roger Williams University2.630.1%1st Place
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9.47Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Emily Billing | 12.4% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.1% |
| Mayumi Roller | 14.1% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Gibson | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Emma Ferris | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 14.3% |
| Mariel Marchand | 8.7% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Rachel Austin | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Sydney Jones | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 21.0% |
| Brooke Lyon | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.6% |
| Elise Gehling | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% |
| Abby Preston | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% |
| Erica Lush | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 12.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.