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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University1.04+4.56vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University0.74+4.59vs Predicted
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3University of Saint Thomas0.88+2.99vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.36+0.86vs Predicted
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5Marquette University0.32+2.37vs Predicted
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6Indiana University0.82+0.19vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan1.12-1.80vs Predicted
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8Hillsdale College1.04-2.26vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago1.01-3.34vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University0.45-2.95vs Predicted
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11University of Notre Dame0.99-5.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.56Purdue University1.049.4%1st Place
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6.59Michigan State University0.746.9%1st Place
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5.99University of Saint Thomas0.888.5%1st Place
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4.86University of Wisconsin1.3613.7%1st Place
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7.37Marquette University0.324.5%1st Place
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6.19Indiana University0.827.9%1st Place
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5.2University of Michigan1.1212.6%1st Place
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5.74Hillsdale College1.0410.3%1st Place
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5.66University of Chicago1.0110.2%1st Place
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7.05Northwestern University0.455.8%1st Place
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5.8University of Notre Dame0.9910.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Skene | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% |
| Luke Koerschner | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 14.0% |
| Greg Bittle | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% |
| Reed Weston | 13.7% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Brittany Shabino | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 21.1% |
| John Hultquist | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.3% |
| Joe Serpa | 12.6% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% |
| Arden Carleton | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.4% |
| Max Zhalilo | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.8% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 17.1% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.