Race 12A

maisa-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Harry Scott 25.8% 21.2% 19.7% 14.6% 10.2% 5.1% 3.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Caroline Patten 22.2% 23.7% 18.1% 14.8% 11.6% 6.0% 2.3% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0%
James Allsopp 11.3% 11.4% 13.6% 15.4% 16.7% 16.4% 11.1% 3.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Evan Siepert 15.6% 14.7% 16.3% 18.7% 13.6% 11.5% 7.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Graham Gardner 11.8% 15.7% 14.3% 14.0% 16.2% 14.0% 8.4% 4.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Andrew Bergan 3.5% 3.4% 4.2% 6.6% 8.2% 13.4% 23.5% 26.8% 10.4% 0.0%
Billy Hluchan 6.6% 6.2% 9.6% 10.0% 15.7% 20.1% 18.4% 10.0% 3.4% 0.0%
Geoff Williams 2.3% 2.6% 3.3% 4.5% 5.3% 10.0% 18.7% 33.9% 19.4% 0.0%
Geoff Williams 2.3% 2.6% 3.3% 4.5% 5.3% 10.0% 18.7% 33.9% 19.4% 0.0%
Elizabeth Siegal 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 1.4% 2.5% 3.5% 7.4% 17.6% 64.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.