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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University1.04+4.59vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.12+3.26vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.36+1.85vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.45+2.97vs Predicted
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5Hillsdale College1.04+0.62vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University0.74+0.72vs Predicted
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7Indiana University0.82-0.74vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame0.99-2.22vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago1.01-3.33vs Predicted
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10Marquette University0.32-2.61vs Predicted
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11University of Saint Thomas0.88-5.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.59Purdue University1.0411.6%1st Place
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5.26University of Michigan1.1211.3%1st Place
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4.85University of Wisconsin1.3614.0%1st Place
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6.97Northwestern University0.455.9%1st Place
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5.62Hillsdale College1.049.4%1st Place
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6.72Michigan State University0.747.4%1st Place
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6.26Indiana University0.827.6%1st Place
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5.78University of Notre Dame0.998.7%1st Place
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5.67University of Chicago1.019.8%1st Place
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7.39Marquette University0.325.6%1st Place
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5.9University of Saint Thomas0.888.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Skene | 11.6% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% |
| Joe Serpa | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% |
| Reed Weston | 14.0% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 17.8% |
| Arden Carleton | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.2% |
| Luke Koerschner | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 14.2% |
| John Hultquist | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.2% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 5.3% |
| Max Zhalilo | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.6% |
| Brittany Shabino | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 21.9% |
| Greg Bittle | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.