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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.36+3.93vs Predicted
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2Hillsdale College1.04+3.54vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.12+2.05vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame0.99+1.67vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.45+2.04vs Predicted
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6Purdue University0.85+0.23vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago1.01-1.29vs Predicted
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8University of Saint Thomas0.88-2.00vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University0.74-2.38vs Predicted
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10Marquette University0.32-2.70vs Predicted
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11Indiana University0.82-5.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93University of Wisconsin1.3613.2%1st Place
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5.54Hillsdale College1.0410.9%1st Place
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5.05University of Michigan1.1213.4%1st Place
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5.67University of Notre Dame0.998.6%1st Place
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7.04Northwestern University0.455.1%1st Place
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6.23Purdue University0.858.1%1st Place
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5.71University of Chicago1.0110.2%1st Place
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6.0University of Saint Thomas0.888.4%1st Place
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6.62Michigan State University0.747.0%1st Place
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7.3Marquette University0.325.9%1st Place
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5.93Indiana University0.829.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed Weston | 13.2% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Arden Carleton | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% |
| Joe Serpa | 13.4% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 16.0% |
| Lukas Diehm | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.6% |
| Max Zhalilo | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 5.1% |
| Greg Bittle | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% |
| Luke Koerschner | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 13.6% |
| Brittany Shabino | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 21.3% |
| John Hultquist | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.