← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Victoria1.65+6.41vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington2.79+2.07vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington2.19+2.78vs Predicted
-
4University of Puget Sound1.23+4.84vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University2.20+0.82vs Predicted
-
6University of Victoria1.79+0.91vs Predicted
-
7Western Washington University1.87-0.29vs Predicted
-
8University of Washington2.10-1.84vs Predicted
-
9University of Victoria0.72+1.40vs Predicted
-
10University of British Columbia0.97-0.32vs Predicted
-
11Western Washington University1.02-1.44vs Predicted
-
12Western Washington University2.21-6.17vs Predicted
-
141.08-4.78vs Predicted
-
15University of Victoria0.14-2.59vs Predicted
-
16Western Washington University-1.16-0.83vs Predicted
-
17Western Washington University-0.56-2.99vs Predicted
-
18Western Washington University-1.99-1.33vs Predicted
-
19University of Puget Sound-2.19-1.96vs Predicted
-
20Western Washington University-3.54-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.41University of Victoria1.650.1%1st Place
-
4.07University of Washington2.790.2%1st Place
-
5.78University of Washington2.190.1%1st Place
-
8.84University of Puget Sound1.230.0%1st Place
-
5.82Western Washington University2.200.1%1st Place
-
6.91University of Victoria1.790.1%1st Place
-
6.71Western Washington University1.870.1%1st Place
-
6.16University of Washington2.100.1%1st Place
-
10.4University of Victoria0.720.0%1st Place
-
9.68University of British Columbia0.970.0%1st Place
-
9.56Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
-
5.83Western Washington University2.210.1%1st Place
-
9.221.080.0%1st Place
-
12.41University of Victoria0.140.0%1st Place
-
15.17Western Washington University-1.160.0%1st Place
-
14.01Western Washington University-0.560.0%1st Place
-
16.67Western Washington University-1.990.0%1st Place
-
17.04University of Puget Sound-2.190.0%1st Place
-
18.32Western Washington University-3.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Cannon | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Haelsig | 20.4% | 15.5% | 15.4% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Forcade | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hans Vroege | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Berry | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Foley | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Manuel Gomez | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Neil Roberts | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Debbi Kenote | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGrath | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabe Hill | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasmin Chana | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 17.0% | 16.8% | 13.6% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Zilz | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 14.2% | 21.0% | 23.2% | 13.8% | 2.5% |
| Greyson Spencer | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 12.1% | 21.2% | 22.0% | 12.5% | 4.2% | 0.2% |
| Nathalie Cushing | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 14.2% | 27.0% | 29.1% | 12.5% |
| Matt Sklar | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 5.8% | 12.9% | 23.3% | 34.3% | 16.6% |
| Zachary Meyer | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 17.0% | 68.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.