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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Puget Sound1.23+7.90vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.02+7.63vs Predicted
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3University of Washington2.19+2.76vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.87+2.67vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University2.20+0.87vs Predicted
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6University of Washington2.10-0.04vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria0.72+3.54vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria1.65-0.38vs Predicted
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9University of Washington2.79-4.99vs Predicted
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101.08-0.74vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University2.21-5.40vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria0.14+0.54vs Predicted
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13University of British Columbia0.97-3.49vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University-0.56-0.86vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University-1.16-0.85vs Predicted
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17University of Victoria1.79-10.12vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University-3.54+0.38vs Predicted
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19Western Washington University-1.99-2.25vs Predicted
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20University of Puget Sound-2.19-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.9University of Puget Sound1.230.0%1st Place
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9.63Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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5.76University of Washington2.190.1%1st Place
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6.67Western Washington University1.870.1%1st Place
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5.87Western Washington University2.200.1%1st Place
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5.96University of Washington2.100.1%1st Place
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10.54University of Victoria0.720.0%1st Place
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7.62University of Victoria1.650.1%1st Place
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4.01University of Washington2.790.2%1st Place
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9.261.080.0%1st Place
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5.6Western Washington University2.210.1%1st Place
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12.54University of Victoria0.140.0%1st Place
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9.51University of British Columbia0.970.0%1st Place
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14.14Western Washington University-0.560.0%1st Place
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15.15Western Washington University-1.160.0%1st Place
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6.88University of Victoria1.790.1%1st Place
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18.38Western Washington University-3.540.0%1st Place
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16.75Western Washington University-1.990.0%1st Place
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16.83University of Puget Sound-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hans Vroege | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Debbi Kenote | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Forcade | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Foley | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 10.9% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Manuel Gomez | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reid Cannon | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Haelsig | 20.3% | 16.3% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabe Hill | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGrath | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasmin Chana | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 16.9% | 20.5% | 11.0% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Neil Roberts | 3.9% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greyson Spencer | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 13.3% | 20.4% | 21.9% | 14.4% | 4.4% | 0.3% |
| Aaron Zilz | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 7.8% | 14.2% | 23.0% | 22.0% | 13.5% | 2.5% |
| Robert Berry | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Meyer | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 7.9% | 13.6% | 72.0% |
| Nathalie Cushing | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 15.2% | 26.7% | 32.5% | 10.4% |
| Matt Sklar | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 6.4% | 11.8% | 22.9% | 34.8% | 14.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.