← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington2.79+3.02vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University1.87+4.77vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington2.19+2.77vs Predicted
-
4University of British Columbia0.97+5.77vs Predicted
-
5University of Victoria0.72+5.80vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University1.02+3.43vs Predicted
-
7University of Puget Sound1.23+1.85vs Predicted
-
8Western Washington University2.20-2.16vs Predicted
-
9University of Victoria1.65-1.72vs Predicted
-
10University of Victoria1.79-3.16vs Predicted
-
11University of Victoria0.14+1.30vs Predicted
-
12University of Washington2.10-5.79vs Predicted
-
13Western Washington University2.21-7.55vs Predicted
-
141.08-4.51vs Predicted
-
15Western Washington University-0.56-1.10vs Predicted
-
17University of Puget Sound-2.19-0.05vs Predicted
-
18Western Washington University-1.99-1.34vs Predicted
-
19Western Washington University-1.16-3.68vs Predicted
-
20Western Washington University-3.54-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.02University of Washington2.790.2%1st Place
-
6.77Western Washington University1.870.1%1st Place
-
5.77University of Washington2.190.1%1st Place
-
9.77University of British Columbia0.970.0%1st Place
-
10.8University of Victoria0.720.0%1st Place
-
9.43Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
-
8.85University of Puget Sound1.230.0%1st Place
-
5.84Western Washington University2.200.1%1st Place
-
7.28University of Victoria1.650.1%1st Place
-
6.84University of Victoria1.790.1%1st Place
-
12.3University of Victoria0.140.0%1st Place
-
6.21University of Washington2.100.1%1st Place
-
5.45Western Washington University2.210.1%1st Place
-
9.491.080.0%1st Place
-
13.9Western Washington University-0.560.0%1st Place
-
16.95University of Puget Sound-2.190.0%1st Place
-
16.66Western Washington University-1.990.0%1st Place
-
15.32Western Washington University-1.160.0%1st Place
-
18.33Western Washington University-3.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Haelsig | 19.7% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Foley | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Forcade | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Roberts | 2.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Manuel Gomez | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 16.4% | 9.6% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Debbi Kenote | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hans Vroege | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Cannon | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Berry | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasmin Chana | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 17.3% | 15.6% | 12.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGrath | 11.8% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabe Hill | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Greyson Spencer | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 20.6% | 20.8% | 12.8% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Matt Sklar | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 10.7% | 26.3% | 34.5% | 14.8% |
| Nathalie Cushing | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 14.7% | 26.5% | 29.6% | 12.5% |
| Aaron Zilz | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 14.9% | 26.1% | 20.4% | 12.7% | 2.9% |
| Zachary Meyer | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 17.0% | 68.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.