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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.79+3.12vs Predicted
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2University of Washington2.19+3.81vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.87+3.95vs Predicted
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4University of Washington2.10+2.04vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.02+4.99vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University2.21-0.30vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University2.20-1.30vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria1.65-0.29vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria1.79-2.06vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria0.72+0.68vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria0.14+1.58vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-0.56+2.72vs Predicted
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141.08-4.67vs Predicted
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15University of Puget Sound1.23-5.90vs Predicted
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16University of British Columbia0.97-6.21vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University-1.16-1.33vs Predicted
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18University of Puget Sound-2.19-0.74vs Predicted
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19Western Washington University-0.16-5.60vs Predicted
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20Western Washington University-3.54-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12University of Washington2.790.2%1st Place
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5.81University of Washington2.190.1%1st Place
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6.95Western Washington University1.870.1%1st Place
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6.04University of Washington2.100.1%1st Place
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9.99Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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5.7Western Washington University2.210.1%1st Place
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5.7Western Washington University2.200.1%1st Place
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7.71University of Victoria1.650.1%1st Place
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6.94University of Victoria1.790.1%1st Place
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10.68University of Victoria0.720.0%1st Place
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12.58University of Victoria0.140.0%1st Place
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14.72Western Washington University-0.560.0%1st Place
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9.331.080.0%1st Place
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9.1University of Puget Sound1.230.1%1st Place
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9.79University of British Columbia0.970.0%1st Place
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15.67Western Washington University-1.160.0%1st Place
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17.26University of Puget Sound-2.190.0%1st Place
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13.4Western Washington University-0.160.0%1st Place
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18.5Western Washington University-3.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Haelsig | 17.1% | 18.1% | 15.9% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Forcade | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Foley | 7.3% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Debbi Kenote | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGrath | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Cannon | 6.8% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Berry | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Manuel Gomez | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jasmin Chana | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 16.3% | 14.3% | 7.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Greyson Spencer | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 12.6% | 24.8% | 22.0% | 8.9% | 1.3% |
| Gabe Hill | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hans Vroege | 5.1% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Neil Roberts | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Zilz | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 33.5% | 20.0% | 3.3% |
| Matt Sklar | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 14.5% | 47.1% | 20.5% |
| Shelby Allman | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 16.6% | 17.5% | 11.9% | 4.2% | 0.2% |
| Zachary Meyer | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 4.5% | 17.2% | 74.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.