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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.06+2.03vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.22+0.90vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.66-0.73vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.57-0.22vs Predicted
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6American University1.85-1.24vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.85-3.29vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-0.82-1.69vs Predicted
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10Columbia University-0.77-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03SUNY Maritime College3.060.2%1st Place
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2.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.220.2%1st Place
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2.27U. S. Naval Academy3.660.4%1st Place
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3.78U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.570.1%1st Place
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4.76American University1.850.1%1st Place
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4.71Fordham University1.850.1%1st Place
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7.31Drexel University-0.820.0%1st Place
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7.24Columbia University-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Steel | 18.9% | 22.9% | 21.9% | 16.8% | 12.5% | 6.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Zacher | 21.9% | 22.3% | 21.9% | 17.2% | 12.1% | 4.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jason Carminati | 36.3% | 26.7% | 18.9% | 11.4% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Boger | 11.0% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 19.4% | 22.0% | 13.2% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Russell Gasdia | 5.2% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 17.2% | 21.3% | 33.2% | 7.8% | 0.3% |
| John O'Riordan | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 15.9% | 23.0% | 31.0% | 7.7% | 0.7% |
| Kelsey Gibbons | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 36.6% | 53.4% |
| Ben Barczewski | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 44.4% | 45.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.