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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria1.87+4.06vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.12+5.43vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.69+2.64vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria1.61+1.79vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria1.42+0.56vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.48-0.83vs Predicted
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8University of Washington2.25-3.99vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.90-0.75vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.89-2.00vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.60-1.95vs Predicted
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12University of Puget Sound-1.01+2.05vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria0.48-3.19vs Predicted
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14University of British Columbia0.59-5.05vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University-0.42-2.50vs Predicted
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16University of Puget Sound-1.87-0.10vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University-0.78-3.64vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University-2.08-1.56vs Predicted
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19Western Washington University-2.46-1.81vs Predicted
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20Western Washington University-1.85-4.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06University of Victoria1.870.1%1st Place
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7.43Western Washington University1.120.1%1st Place
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5.64University of Washington1.690.1%1st Place
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5.79University of Victoria1.610.1%1st Place
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6.56University of Victoria1.420.1%1st Place
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6.17Western Washington University1.480.1%1st Place
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4.01University of Washington2.250.2%1st Place
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8.25Western Washington University0.900.1%1st Place
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8.0Western Washington University0.890.1%1st Place
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9.05University of Washington0.600.0%1st Place
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14.05University of Puget Sound-1.010.0%1st Place
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9.81University of Victoria0.480.0%1st Place
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8.95University of British Columbia0.590.0%1st Place
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12.5Western Washington University-0.420.0%1st Place
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15.9University of Puget Sound-1.870.0%1st Place
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13.36Western Washington University-0.780.0%1st Place
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16.44Western Washington University-2.080.0%1st Place
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17.19Western Washington University-2.460.0%1st Place
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15.83Western Washington University-1.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Berry | 11.8% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Halliday | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ross Jespersen | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Koster | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Martin | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 18.4% | 18.6% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Fetterman | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Okrasinski | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Antles | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Service | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 18.4% | 13.3% | 7.5% | 2.5% |
| Brock Poesiat | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeanne Currie | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Reid Henry | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Eric Nathanson | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 20.4% | 18.2% |
| Thane Gill | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 1.7% |
| Aaron Meyers | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 18.2% | 22.6% | 23.9% |
| Chris Chaves | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 13.8% | 22.5% | 37.8% |
| Hope Odendahl | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 19.4% | 18.4% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.