← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Victoria1.87+4.13vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University0.90+6.15vs Predicted
-
3University of Victoria1.61+2.86vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University1.48+1.20vs Predicted
-
6University of Victoria0.48+3.73vs Predicted
-
7Western Washington University1.12+0.27vs Predicted
-
8Western Washington University0.89+0.15vs Predicted
-
9University of Washington1.69-3.21vs Predicted
-
10University of Victoria1.42-3.72vs Predicted
-
11University of Washington0.60-2.00vs Predicted
-
12University of Washington2.25-7.99vs Predicted
-
13University of British Columbia0.59-3.61vs Predicted
-
14Western Washington University-0.42-1.81vs Predicted
-
15University of Puget Sound-1.01-0.85vs Predicted
-
16University of Puget Sound-1.87-0.12vs Predicted
-
17Western Washington University-0.78-3.71vs Predicted
-
18Western Washington University-2.46-0.88vs Predicted
-
19Western Washington University-1.85-2.87vs Predicted
-
20Western Washington University-2.08-3.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.13University of Victoria1.870.1%1st Place
-
8.15Western Washington University0.900.1%1st Place
-
5.86University of Victoria1.610.1%1st Place
-
6.2Western Washington University1.480.1%1st Place
-
9.73University of Victoria0.480.0%1st Place
-
7.27Western Washington University1.120.1%1st Place
-
8.15Western Washington University0.890.1%1st Place
-
5.79University of Washington1.690.1%1st Place
-
6.28University of Victoria1.420.1%1st Place
-
9.0University of Washington0.600.0%1st Place
-
4.01University of Washington2.250.2%1st Place
-
9.39University of British Columbia0.590.0%1st Place
-
12.19Western Washington University-0.420.0%1st Place
-
14.15University of Puget Sound-1.010.0%1st Place
-
15.88University of Puget Sound-1.870.0%1st Place
-
13.29Western Washington University-0.780.0%1st Place
-
17.12Western Washington University-2.460.0%1st Place
-
16.13Western Washington University-1.850.0%1st Place
-
16.27Western Washington University-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Berry | 11.1% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Fetterman | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ross Jespersen | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Martin | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Poesiat | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Halliday | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Okrasinski | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Koster | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Antles | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 18.1% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeanne Currie | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reid Henry | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| William Service | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 17.9% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 3.0% |
| Eric Nathanson | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 16.5% | 20.6% | 17.5% |
| Thane Gill | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Chris Chaves | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 14.8% | 19.7% | 40.2% |
| Hope Odendahl | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 10.5% | 15.9% | 18.8% | 21.2% | 15.4% |
| Aaron Meyers | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 13.4% | 18.2% | 21.1% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.