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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-2.55+2.46vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+0.78vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University0.04+2.22vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.91-0.35vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.25+1.17vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon0.11-0.98vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.20-1.43vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.54-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46University of Washington-2.5519.2%1st Place
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2.78California Poly Maritime Academy1.6228.9%1st Place
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5.22Oregon State University0.046.3%1st Place
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3.65University of California at Santa Cruz0.9115.7%1st Place
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6.17University of California at Berkeley-0.253.8%1st Place
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5.02University of Oregon0.118.0%1st Place
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5.57Northwestern University-0.206.2%1st Place
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4.12Western Washington University0.5411.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 19.2% | 16.8% | 18.2% | 16.1% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Clay Myers | 28.9% | 23.1% | 17.1% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Liam Brinton | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 16.3% | 19.8% | 15.5% |
| Colin Olson | 15.7% | 17.3% | 15.6% | 18.4% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 2.4% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 20.0% | 37.9% |
| Emily Avey | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 17.8% | 13.5% |
| Owen Lubben | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 16.7% | 19.0% | 23.6% |
| Nathan Gerber | 11.9% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.