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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.86+1.44vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.25+1.99vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.86-0.68vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.20-0.14vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-2.06+1.06vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University-0.27-2.12vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University-1.50-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44California Poly Maritime Academy0.8630.1%1st Place
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3.99University of Washington-0.2510.2%1st Place
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2.32Boston University0.8632.6%1st Place
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3.86Western Washington University-0.2011.3%1st Place
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6.06University of Oregon-2.061.9%1st Place
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3.88Oregon State University-0.2710.5%1st Place
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5.46Oregon State University-1.503.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 30.1% | 28.2% | 20.1% | 12.8% | 6.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Henry Stier | 10.2% | 11.2% | 16.7% | 18.6% | 22.9% | 15.4% | 4.9% |
| Benjamin Luu | 32.6% | 29.1% | 20.4% | 11.5% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 11.3% | 12.8% | 16.6% | 19.5% | 21.7% | 13.7% | 4.4% |
| ella notdurft | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 20.4% | 56.7% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 10.5% | 11.4% | 17.5% | 22.5% | 20.4% | 13.8% | 3.9% |
| John Kish | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 33.7% | 29.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.