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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.25+3.05vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria1.87+3.09vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.48+3.27vs Predicted
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4University of British Columbia0.59+5.21vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.12+2.49vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.90+2.03vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria1.42-0.60vs Predicted
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9University of Washington1.69-3.21vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.89-1.99vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.60-1.92vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-0.42+0.39vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria0.48-3.19vs Predicted
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14University of Victoria1.61-8.39vs Predicted
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15University of Puget Sound-1.01-0.92vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University-0.78-2.75vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University-1.85-1.02vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University-2.08-1.59vs Predicted
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19Western Washington University-2.46-1.81vs Predicted
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20University of Puget Sound-1.87-4.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.05University of Washington2.250.2%1st Place
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5.09University of Victoria1.870.1%1st Place
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6.27Western Washington University1.480.1%1st Place
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9.21University of British Columbia0.590.0%1st Place
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7.49Western Washington University1.120.0%1st Place
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8.03Western Washington University0.900.1%1st Place
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6.4University of Victoria1.420.1%1st Place
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5.79University of Washington1.690.1%1st Place
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8.01Western Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
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9.08University of Washington0.600.0%1st Place
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12.39Western Washington University-0.420.0%1st Place
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9.81University of Victoria0.480.0%1st Place
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5.61University of Victoria1.610.1%1st Place
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14.08University of Puget Sound-1.010.0%1st Place
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13.25Western Washington University-0.780.0%1st Place
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15.98Western Washington University-1.850.0%1st Place
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16.41Western Washington University-2.080.0%1st Place
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17.19Western Washington University-2.460.0%1st Place
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15.82University of Puget Sound-1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Thompson | 19.9% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Berry | 13.8% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Martin | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeanne Currie | 2.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Halliday | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Fetterman | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Koster | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Okrasinski | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Antles | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reid Henry | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Brock Poesiat | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ross Jespersen | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Service | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 16.9% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 8.8% | 2.8% |
| Thane Gill | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 1.9% |
| Hope Odendahl | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 16.4% | 18.3% | 20.5% | 15.9% |
| Aaron Meyers | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 17.6% | 20.7% | 24.5% |
| Chris Chaves | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 19.6% | 39.8% |
| Eric Nathanson | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 15.4% | 17.8% | 20.9% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.