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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.89+7.16vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.90+5.14vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.69+1.63vs Predicted
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5University of Washington2.25-0.97vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria1.87-0.84vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria1.42-0.59vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University1.48-1.80vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University1.12-1.44vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.60-1.03vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria1.61-5.27vs Predicted
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12University of Puget Sound-1.01+2.04vs Predicted
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13University of British Columbia0.59-3.53vs Predicted
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14University of Victoria0.48-4.61vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University-2.08+1.51vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University-0.42-3.72vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University-0.78-3.69vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University-1.85-2.04vs Predicted
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19University of Puget Sound-1.87-2.93vs Predicted
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20Western Washington University-2.46-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.16Western Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
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8.14Western Washington University0.900.1%1st Place
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5.63University of Washington1.690.1%1st Place
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4.03University of Washington2.250.2%1st Place
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5.16University of Victoria1.870.1%1st Place
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6.41University of Victoria1.420.1%1st Place
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6.2Western Washington University1.480.1%1st Place
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7.56Western Washington University1.120.1%1st Place
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8.97University of Washington0.600.0%1st Place
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5.73University of Victoria1.610.1%1st Place
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14.04University of Puget Sound-1.010.0%1st Place
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9.47University of British Columbia0.590.0%1st Place
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9.39University of Victoria0.480.0%1st Place
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16.51Western Washington University-2.080.0%1st Place
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12.28Western Washington University-0.420.0%1st Place
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13.31Western Washington University-0.780.0%1st Place
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15.96Western Washington University-1.850.0%1st Place
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16.07University of Puget Sound-1.870.0%1st Place
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16.96Western Washington University-2.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margaret Okrasinski | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Fetterman | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 11.6% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 19.0% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Berry | 11.2% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Koster | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Martin | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Halliday | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jake Antles | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ross Jespersen | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Service | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 16.3% | 17.3% | 14.3% | 7.1% | 2.0% |
| Jeanne Currie | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Poesiat | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Aaron Meyers | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 17.2% | 25.0% | 24.4% |
| Reid Henry | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Thane Gill | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 16.5% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| Hope Odendahl | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 15.2% | 17.8% | 18.7% | 18.0% |
| Eric Nathanson | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 15.3% | 18.3% | 19.9% | 16.6% |
| Chris Chaves | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 20.8% | 36.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.