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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-2.55+2.44vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.91+1.68vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.25+3.17vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University0.04+1.21vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon0.11-0.03vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.20-0.43vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.54-2.85vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy1.62-5.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44University of Washington-2.5518.5%1st Place
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3.68University of California at Santa Cruz0.9116.9%1st Place
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6.17University of California at Berkeley-0.254.4%1st Place
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5.21Oregon State University0.048.0%1st Place
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4.97University of Oregon0.118.0%1st Place
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5.57Northwestern University-0.205.9%1st Place
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4.15Western Washington University0.5411.6%1st Place
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2.8California Poly Maritime Academy1.6226.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 18.5% | 18.4% | 18.3% | 16.1% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Colin Olson | 16.9% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 2.5% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 18.4% | 39.1% |
| Liam Brinton | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 16.8% | 17.2% | 17.2% |
| Emily Avey | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 17.4% | 12.4% |
| Owen Lubben | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 22.1% | 21.2% |
| Nathan Gerber | 11.6% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 5.0% |
| Clay Myers | 26.8% | 23.8% | 18.2% | 14.5% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.