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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.86+1.46vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.86+0.26vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.25+0.94vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.20-0.05vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University-0.27-1.15vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University-1.50-0.52vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-2.06-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.46California Poly Maritime Academy0.8629.5%1st Place
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2.26Boston University0.8634.4%1st Place
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3.94University of Washington-0.2510.5%1st Place
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3.95Western Washington University-0.2010.6%1st Place
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3.85Oregon State University-0.279.8%1st Place
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5.48Oregon State University-1.503.1%1st Place
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6.06University of Oregon-2.062.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 29.5% | 27.3% | 22.2% | 12.1% | 7.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Luu | 34.4% | 30.2% | 18.0% | 11.0% | 5.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Henry Stier | 10.5% | 11.7% | 16.8% | 19.5% | 21.8% | 14.9% | 4.8% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 10.6% | 10.8% | 16.0% | 21.5% | 22.4% | 14.6% | 4.2% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 9.8% | 13.3% | 17.2% | 22.7% | 20.3% | 12.0% | 4.6% |
| John Kish | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 14.6% | 33.9% | 29.8% |
| ella notdurft | 2.2% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 22.0% | 56.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.