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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-2.55+2.43vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+0.75vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.91+0.73vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.54+0.20vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.25+1.19vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University0.04-0.86vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon0.11-2.01vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.20-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43University of Washington-2.5518.2%1st Place
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2.75California Poly Maritime Academy1.6228.2%1st Place
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3.73University of California at Santa Cruz0.9116.4%1st Place
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4.2Western Washington University0.5412.4%1st Place
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6.19University of California at Berkeley-0.254.0%1st Place
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5.14Oregon State University0.047.6%1st Place
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4.99University of Oregon0.117.8%1st Place
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5.57Northwestern University-0.205.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 18.2% | 19.1% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Clay Myers | 28.2% | 23.8% | 18.8% | 13.3% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Colin Olson | 16.4% | 15.2% | 17.4% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 2.6% |
| Nathan Gerber | 12.4% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 5.5% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 19.7% | 38.0% |
| Liam Brinton | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 18.4% | 14.7% |
| Emily Avey | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 17.6% | 13.2% |
| Owen Lubben | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 19.1% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.