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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-0.20+2.97vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.86+0.29vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University-0.27+0.82vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.25-0.08vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy0.86-2.60vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University-1.50-0.50vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-2.06-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97Western Washington University-0.209.1%1st Place
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2.29Boston University0.8633.9%1st Place
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3.82Oregon State University-0.2710.5%1st Place
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3.92University of Washington-0.2510.7%1st Place
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2.4California Poly Maritime Academy0.8630.9%1st Place
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5.5Oregon State University-1.503.5%1st Place
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6.12University of Oregon-2.061.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 9.1% | 12.5% | 16.2% | 19.9% | 23.9% | 13.7% | 4.6% |
| Benjamin Luu | 33.9% | 29.2% | 18.4% | 12.3% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 10.5% | 13.2% | 17.7% | 21.2% | 20.7% | 13.1% | 3.5% |
| Henry Stier | 10.7% | 11.8% | 16.6% | 19.7% | 22.4% | 14.4% | 4.4% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 30.9% | 27.5% | 21.8% | 13.0% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| John Kish | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 33.5% | 30.9% |
| ella notdurft | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 22.8% | 56.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.