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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-2.55+2.49vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+0.78vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.91+0.64vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University0.04+1.14vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.25+1.14vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon0.11-1.00vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.54-2.81vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.20-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49University of Washington-2.5518.8%1st Place
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2.78California Poly Maritime Academy1.6227.1%1st Place
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3.64University of California at Santa Cruz0.9117.0%1st Place
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5.14Oregon State University0.047.3%1st Place
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6.14University of California at Berkeley-0.254.5%1st Place
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5.0University of Oregon0.117.8%1st Place
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4.19Western Washington University0.5412.8%1st Place
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5.62Northwestern University-0.204.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 18.8% | 17.5% | 17.8% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
| Clay Myers | 27.1% | 23.8% | 19.0% | 14.3% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Colin Olson | 17.0% | 17.0% | 17.6% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 3.1% |
| Liam Brinton | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 16.9% | 17.9% | 14.9% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 17.3% | 38.4% |
| Emily Avey | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 16.7% | 14.1% |
| Nathan Gerber | 12.8% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 5.1% |
| Owen Lubben | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 16.2% | 22.5% | 21.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.