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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Oregon State University-0.27+2.86vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.25+2.00vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.86-0.78vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy0.86-1.54vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.20-1.10vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University-1.50-0.51vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-2.06-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86Oregon State University-0.2710.5%1st Place
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4.0University of Washington-0.259.2%1st Place
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2.22Boston University0.8635.8%1st Place
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2.46California Poly Maritime Academy0.8629.9%1st Place
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3.9Western Washington University-0.209.6%1st Place
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5.49Oregon State University-1.503.1%1st Place
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6.07University of Oregon-2.061.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassius Tossavainen | 10.5% | 12.8% | 17.3% | 20.9% | 21.0% | 13.4% | 4.1% |
| Henry Stier | 9.2% | 12.1% | 15.9% | 20.4% | 22.1% | 15.1% | 5.1% |
| Benjamin Luu | 35.8% | 29.2% | 18.6% | 10.9% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 29.9% | 25.9% | 22.4% | 13.5% | 6.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 9.6% | 13.6% | 16.9% | 19.6% | 22.4% | 13.8% | 4.2% |
| John Kish | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 15.2% | 32.4% | 30.6% |
| ella notdurft | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 22.6% | 55.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.