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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+1.79vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-2.55+1.45vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.91+0.64vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.20+1.59vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.25+1.22vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University0.04-0.91vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon0.11-2.01vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.54-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79California Poly Maritime Academy1.6228.0%1st Place
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3.45University of Washington-2.5518.4%1st Place
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3.64University of California at Santa Cruz0.9116.8%1st Place
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5.59Northwestern University-0.205.9%1st Place
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6.22University of California at Berkeley-0.254.2%1st Place
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5.09Oregon State University0.046.6%1st Place
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4.99University of Oregon0.117.2%1st Place
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4.25Western Washington University0.5413.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Myers | 28.0% | 23.4% | 18.6% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Maxwell Miller | 18.4% | 19.1% | 17.4% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
| Colin Olson | 16.8% | 17.5% | 16.5% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| Owen Lubben | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 15.7% | 20.5% | 22.6% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 19.0% | 39.6% |
| Liam Brinton | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 17.7% | 14.8% |
| Emily Avey | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 16.6% | 13.2% |
| Nathan Gerber | 13.0% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 11.4% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.