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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.66+1.25vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.06+1.10vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.22-0.16vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.57-0.21vs Predicted
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5American University1.85-0.25vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.85-2.29vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-0.82-1.69vs Predicted
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10Columbia University-0.77-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25U. S. Naval Academy3.660.4%1st Place
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3.1SUNY Maritime College3.060.2%1st Place
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2.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.220.2%1st Place
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3.79U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.570.1%1st Place
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4.75American University1.850.0%1st Place
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4.71Fordham University1.850.1%1st Place
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7.31Drexel University-0.820.0%1st Place
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7.24Columbia University-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Carminati | 37.7% | 26.7% | 17.0% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Steel | 18.2% | 20.6% | 21.7% | 19.1% | 13.7% | 6.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Zacher | 21.9% | 24.1% | 22.8% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Robert Boger | 10.8% | 14.8% | 15.9% | 21.0% | 20.5% | 14.3% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Russell Gasdia | 4.9% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 22.7% | 32.9% | 7.6% | 0.4% |
| John O'Riordan | 5.7% | 5.9% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 21.4% | 31.6% | 7.7% | 0.7% |
| Kelsey Gibbons | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 5.0% | 36.6% | 53.4% |
| Ben Barczewski | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 5.3% | 44.1% | 45.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.