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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-0.20+2.95vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.25+1.96vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University-0.27+0.83vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.86-1.75vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University-1.50+0.48vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy0.86-3.54vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-2.06-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.95Western Washington University-0.209.8%1st Place
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3.96University of Washington-0.2510.2%1st Place
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3.83Oregon State University-0.2710.8%1st Place
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2.25Boston University0.8634.2%1st Place
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5.48Oregon State University-1.503.3%1st Place
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2.46California Poly Maritime Academy0.8629.9%1st Place
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6.06University of Oregon-2.061.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 9.8% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 21.5% | 22.4% | 14.1% | 4.4% |
| Henry Stier | 10.2% | 11.7% | 16.0% | 20.3% | 22.1% | 14.8% | 4.9% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 10.8% | 13.1% | 17.4% | 21.1% | 19.4% | 14.9% | 3.3% |
| Benjamin Luu | 34.2% | 29.8% | 19.8% | 10.5% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| John Kish | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 30.2% | 32.2% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 29.9% | 27.2% | 21.1% | 12.2% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| ella notdurft | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 9.3% | 22.9% | 54.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.