Race 5A

roger-williams-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Timothy Harding 10.2% 7.6% 10.4% 12.4% 11.8% 11.2% 10.8% 10.2% 8.5% 4.0% 2.7% 0.2%
John McGlynn 10.6% 13.6% 11.9% 11.5% 11.8% 10.8% 9.5% 8.2% 7.2% 3.8% 1.1% 0.0%
Matthew Paige 10.4% 7.9% 12.0% 10.5% 10.0% 9.6% 12.5% 11.1% 8.2% 5.7% 1.8% 0.3%
James Moody 13.6% 13.8% 13.4% 12.9% 11.9% 11.3% 8.0% 7.6% 4.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Campbell Duffy 6.7% 7.1% 7.7% 9.4% 9.0% 10.1% 12.1% 11.6% 11.0% 8.7% 5.3% 1.3%
John Silvestri 8.8% 9.3% 9.0% 10.1% 12.1% 11.1% 10.2% 9.9% 10.7% 5.9% 2.5% 0.4%
A. Tucker Atterbury 11.2% 12.1% 11.8% 11.1% 10.3% 9.9% 10.2% 11.0% 6.1% 4.7% 1.2% 0.4%
Genevieve Marquardt 4.4% 4.9% 4.0% 3.9% 5.7% 7.7% 7.9% 10.1% 15.2% 19.2% 12.3% 4.7%
Emmet Austin 0.7% 0.5% 0.7% 1.0% 0.6% 0.7% 1.7% 2.9% 3.1% 7.4% 18.1% 62.6%
James Fales 1.5% 2.0% 2.3% 2.6% 2.1% 2.8% 4.2% 5.3% 10.3% 16.4% 31.0% 19.5%
Sarah Williams 19.4% 18.0% 14.5% 11.4% 11.5% 9.8% 6.7% 4.0% 2.6% 1.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Karl Ryder 2.5% 3.2% 2.3% 3.2% 3.2% 5.0% 6.2% 8.1% 12.5% 20.8% 22.6% 10.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.