Race 6A

roger-williams-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Timothy Harding 9.0% 8.1% 10.8% 8.3% 10.7% 9.0% 10.5% 10.2% 9.7% 7.5% 4.6% 1.2% 0.4%
John McGlynn 9.6% 11.0% 11.3% 9.9% 10.7% 9.5% 10.7% 8.2% 7.9% 7.2% 2.5% 1.2% 0.3%
John Silvestri 7.0% 7.4% 9.8% 9.2% 10.1% 9.5% 9.8% 9.6% 9.3% 9.7% 6.4% 1.9% 0.3%
Sarah Williams 17.1% 16.8% 13.0% 12.4% 11.5% 8.4% 7.7% 6.5% 4.0% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
Campbell Duffy 6.9% 6.8% 6.6% 7.4% 8.5% 6.8% 9.4% 11.2% 11.2% 10.3% 9.9% 4.3% 0.7%
Matthew Paige 9.3% 9.2% 9.3% 9.6% 9.3% 11.9% 8.6% 9.4% 9.2% 6.2% 6.3% 1.4% 0.3%
A. Tucker Atterbury 11.1% 9.3% 10.5% 8.4% 9.9% 10.4% 9.5% 9.5% 7.6% 8.2% 3.6% 1.7% 0.3%
Genevieve Marquardt 2.9% 4.4% 4.2% 3.7% 3.8% 5.2% 6.0% 8.8% 10.3% 14.9% 17.5% 15.0% 3.3%
James Moody 11.8% 12.2% 10.6% 12.7% 10.6% 11.3% 8.0% 7.9% 6.5% 5.3% 2.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Charles Nunn 11.6% 11.3% 9.9% 12.0% 8.9% 10.2% 9.0% 8.1% 7.9% 6.2% 3.0% 1.5% 0.4%
Karl Ryder 2.3% 1.5% 2.6% 3.6% 3.1% 5.2% 5.5% 5.4% 9.1% 12.1% 21.0% 20.3% 8.3%
James Fales 0.9% 1.5% 1.2% 2.2% 2.0% 1.9% 3.7% 3.5% 5.8% 7.6% 15.7% 32.1% 21.9%
Emmet Austin 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 1.6% 1.7% 1.5% 3.3% 6.6% 18.3% 63.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.