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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+1.77vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-2.55+1.48vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.91+0.59vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.25+2.23vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.54-0.86vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University0.04-0.79vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.20-1.51vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon0.11-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77California Poly Maritime Academy1.6229.1%1st Place
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3.48University of Washington-2.5517.8%1st Place
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3.59University of California at Santa Cruz0.9116.6%1st Place
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6.23University of California at Berkeley-0.254.1%1st Place
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4.14Western Washington University0.5412.1%1st Place
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5.21Oregon State University0.046.4%1st Place
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5.49Northwestern University-0.205.6%1st Place
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5.1University of Oregon0.118.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Myers | 29.1% | 23.0% | 18.5% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Maxwell Miller | 17.8% | 17.8% | 17.4% | 17.8% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Colin Olson | 16.6% | 17.8% | 18.1% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 18.6% | 40.1% |
| Nathan Gerber | 12.1% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 5.5% |
| Liam Brinton | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 16.3% | 19.4% | 15.5% |
| Owen Lubben | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 20.4% | 20.4% |
| Emily Avey | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 16.8% | 18.2% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.