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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.86+1.49vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.20+1.98vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.25+0.92vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University-0.27-0.13vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.86-2.78vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University-1.50-0.54vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-2.06-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49California Poly Maritime Academy0.8628.9%1st Place
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3.98Western Washington University-0.209.8%1st Place
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3.92University of Washington-0.2510.4%1st Place
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3.87Oregon State University-0.2710.1%1st Place
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2.22Boston University0.8635.0%1st Place
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5.46Oregon State University-1.503.7%1st Place
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6.07University of Oregon-2.062.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 28.9% | 28.1% | 20.6% | 13.1% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 9.8% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 20.7% | 22.2% | 15.7% | 4.2% |
| Henry Stier | 10.4% | 12.3% | 16.7% | 19.7% | 21.9% | 14.1% | 4.9% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 10.1% | 11.7% | 18.5% | 21.7% | 21.6% | 12.2% | 4.2% |
| Benjamin Luu | 35.0% | 30.5% | 19.1% | 9.9% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| John Kish | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 31.4% | 31.4% |
| ella notdurft | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 23.2% | 55.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.