Race 1B

roger-williams-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Nathan Allman 22.4% 20.6% 17.7% 15.9% 11.3% 7.2% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Cole Rice 10.3% 12.8% 12.9% 13.3% 14.5% 13.4% 11.1% 7.9% 3.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Alexander Rudkin 6.1% 6.2% 8.8% 8.3% 13.0% 12.3% 16.2% 16.3% 10.4% 2.1% 0.3%
Christopher Jensen 8.2% 8.5% 9.8% 12.2% 15.7% 14.8% 14.3% 10.8% 4.5% 1.1% 0.1%
Hunter Johnstone 27.6% 21.3% 19.2% 13.3% 7.9% 6.5% 2.8% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Rolfe Glover 11.1% 14.3% 12.9% 14.6% 12.9% 13.1% 10.6% 7.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Mark Gargula 8.7% 8.7% 10.8% 11.8% 13.4% 13.6% 14.4% 11.3% 5.6% 1.7% 0.0%
Myles Gibbs 1.2% 1.5% 1.4% 2.0% 2.5% 3.6% 7.0% 11.9% 27.8% 32.5% 8.6%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 3.6% 4.7% 4.7% 7.1% 6.8% 11.0% 14.4% 22.3% 16.4% 7.1% 1.9%
James Paolino 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 1.3% 1.7% 3.5% 4.3% 7.8% 22.1% 39.8% 16.5%
Andrew Holmes 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 6.8% 14.6% 72.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.