Race 2B

roger-williams-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Cole Rice 8.4% 12.1% 12.5% 13.6% 15.4% 15.2% 12.6% 7.3% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Christopher Jensen 8.7% 9.9% 11.0% 12.0% 13.1% 15.2% 13.2% 11.4% 4.0% 1.4% 0.1%
Hunter Johnstone 24.8% 22.3% 18.2% 13.9% 8.9% 7.7% 2.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Nathan Allman 23.8% 18.7% 17.1% 16.8% 10.6% 6.2% 4.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Mark Gargula 8.5% 8.4% 9.7% 10.2% 13.2% 12.1% 15.6% 14.0% 6.7% 1.6% 0.0%
Alexander Rudkin 5.7% 8.3% 8.2% 9.4% 11.7% 14.1% 14.8% 15.2% 9.6% 2.8% 0.2%
Rolfe Glover 13.1% 14.3% 14.0% 13.2% 13.4% 11.4% 10.8% 6.9% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 4.5% 3.4% 5.7% 7.2% 9.2% 10.4% 14.8% 20.9% 16.9% 6.0% 1.0%
James Paolino 0.8% 1.4% 1.1% 1.7% 1.8% 2.4% 3.8% 8.1% 21.6% 40.0% 17.3%
Myles Gibbs 1.2% 1.2% 2.1% 2.0% 2.2% 4.8% 6.0% 11.4% 28.6% 31.0% 9.5%
Andrew Holmes 0.5% 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.5% 0.5% 1.3% 2.2% 6.6% 16.1% 71.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.