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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-2.55+2.45vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+0.83vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.91+0.69vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.63+2.19vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University0.04+0.15vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.54-1.79vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon0.11-2.02vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.20-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.45University of Washington-2.5516.9%1st Place
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2.83California Poly Maritime Academy1.6226.8%1st Place
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3.69University of California at Santa Cruz0.9117.2%1st Place
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6.19University of California at Berkeley-0.633.7%1st Place
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5.15Oregon State University0.046.6%1st Place
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4.21Western Washington University0.5413.5%1st Place
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4.98University of Oregon0.118.5%1st Place
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5.5Northwestern University-0.207.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 16.9% | 19.8% | 18.5% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Clay Myers | 26.8% | 23.2% | 18.7% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Colin Olson | 17.2% | 16.0% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 2.5% |
| Max Lawall | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 19.1% | 38.2% |
| Liam Brinton | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 17.2% | 17.2% | 15.0% |
| Nathan Gerber | 13.5% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 10.3% | 6.4% |
| Emily Avey | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 15.5% | 17.1% | 13.9% |
| Owen Lubben | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 21.7% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.