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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.86+1.47vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.20+1.84vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.86-0.74vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.25+0.03vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University-0.27-1.15vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University-1.50-0.53vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-2.06-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47California Poly Maritime Academy0.8629.5%1st Place
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3.84Western Washington University-0.2011.1%1st Place
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2.26Boston University0.8634.1%1st Place
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4.03University of Washington-0.259.4%1st Place
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3.85Oregon State University-0.2710.2%1st Place
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5.47Oregon State University-1.503.7%1st Place
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6.07University of Oregon-2.062.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 29.5% | 26.9% | 21.6% | 13.2% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 11.1% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 19.6% | 21.9% | 13.9% | 3.6% |
| Benjamin Luu | 34.1% | 29.3% | 20.5% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Henry Stier | 9.4% | 11.0% | 15.0% | 21.4% | 22.8% | 15.0% | 5.3% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 10.2% | 12.8% | 17.6% | 21.9% | 20.1% | 13.5% | 4.0% |
| John Kish | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 14.5% | 33.9% | 30.0% |
| ella notdurft | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 20.4% | 56.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.