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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+1.74vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-2.55+1.50vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.91+0.68vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.54+0.17vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University0.04+0.18vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.63+0.22vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon0.11-1.99vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.20-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.74California Poly Maritime Academy1.6228.8%1st Place
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3.5University of Washington-2.5517.3%1st Place
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3.68University of California at Santa Cruz0.9116.2%1st Place
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4.17Western Washington University0.5411.8%1st Place
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5.18Oregon State University0.048.1%1st Place
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6.22University of California at Berkeley-0.633.5%1st Place
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5.01University of Oregon0.117.6%1st Place
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5.51Northwestern University-0.206.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Myers | 28.8% | 23.5% | 18.1% | 14.7% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Maxwell Miller | 17.3% | 17.7% | 18.7% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Colin Olson | 16.2% | 17.6% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 11.3% | 6.3% | 2.6% |
| Nathan Gerber | 11.8% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 10.0% | 5.8% |
| Liam Brinton | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 18.8% | 16.1% |
| Max Lawall | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 20.9% | 38.0% |
| Emily Avey | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 14.2% |
| Owen Lubben | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 16.6% | 20.3% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.