Race 4B

roger-williams-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Alexander Rudkin 4.6% 7.1% 8.6% 9.7% 11.7% 13.1% 18.6% 14.6% 9.3% 2.6% 0.1%
Nathan Allman 23.6% 20.7% 19.5% 14.0% 9.6% 6.9% 4.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Cole Rice 10.1% 10.8% 12.8% 13.7% 14.4% 13.6% 13.1% 8.6% 2.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Mark Gargula 7.1% 7.6% 9.1% 10.8% 13.4% 15.8% 13.2% 13.7% 7.7% 1.4% 0.2%
Hunter Johnstone 27.0% 24.6% 15.7% 11.8% 9.0% 6.5% 3.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Jensen 8.6% 9.5% 10.1% 14.0% 13.8% 12.8% 12.6% 11.4% 5.8% 1.2% 0.2%
Rolfe Glover 12.6% 13.3% 15.5% 14.1% 13.6% 11.2% 10.2% 6.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 4.1% 4.0% 5.6% 7.6% 8.6% 11.5% 13.5% 21.4% 16.6% 6.3% 0.8%
James Paolino 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 1.6% 2.5% 2.3% 3.5% 7.8% 20.1% 40.2% 18.9%
Andrew Holmes 0.4% 0.0% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 1.1% 1.0% 3.1% 4.8% 17.8% 70.8%
Myles Gibbs 1.0% 1.3% 1.7% 2.3% 3.1% 5.2% 6.4% 10.1% 30.3% 29.6% 9.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.