Race 5B

roger-williams-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Hunter Johnstone 26.9% 21.2% 15.7% 11.8% 10.1% 6.7% 4.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2%
Ian White 9.0% 6.3% 11.8% 11.5% 12.6% 11.8% 14.1% 12.2% 9.1% 1.6%
Nathan Allman 20.9% 19.6% 15.3% 16.1% 12.3% 6.9% 5.2% 2.9% 0.8% 0.0%
Rolfe Glover 9.6% 11.3% 14.3% 13.0% 12.6% 12.0% 11.6% 8.1% 6.4% 1.1%
Cole Rice 10.3% 11.1% 10.3% 13.3% 12.7% 13.2% 12.5% 9.2% 6.3% 1.1%
Alexander Rudkin 6.7% 7.4% 6.7% 7.4% 9.6% 12.7% 12.1% 15.6% 16.3% 5.5%
Mark Gargula 5.6% 8.1% 9.4% 10.7% 10.5% 12.7% 13.5% 14.4% 11.8% 3.3%
Christopher Jensen 7.1% 10.4% 10.9% 10.6% 10.7% 11.7% 12.6% 14.9% 9.5% 1.6%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 3.3% 3.6% 5.0% 4.9% 6.9% 9.6% 10.0% 17.6% 28.0% 11.1%
James Paolino 0.6% 1.0% 0.6% 0.7% 2.0% 2.7% 3.6% 3.3% 11.0% 74.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.