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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.86+1.40vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.25+2.03vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University-0.27+0.87vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University-1.50+1.44vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.86-2.75vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.20-2.08vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-2.06-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4California Poly Maritime Academy0.8631.7%1st Place
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4.03University of Washington-0.258.6%1st Place
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3.87Oregon State University-0.279.7%1st Place
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5.44Oregon State University-1.503.9%1st Place
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2.25Boston University0.8634.7%1st Place
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3.92Western Washington University-0.209.8%1st Place
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6.09University of Oregon-2.061.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kawika Tumilowicz | 31.7% | 26.2% | 21.9% | 12.4% | 6.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
Henry Stier | 8.6% | 11.3% | 16.7% | 21.1% | 22.1% | 14.5% | 5.6% |
Cassius Tossavainen | 9.7% | 13.8% | 16.9% | 21.3% | 20.8% | 13.4% | 4.2% |
John Kish | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 15.5% | 31.8% | 30.3% |
Benjamin Luu | 34.7% | 30.0% | 18.7% | 10.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
Malcolm Duncan Graves | 9.8% | 12.4% | 17.1% | 19.2% | 23.2% | 14.3% | 3.9% |
ella notdurft | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 23.3% | 55.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.