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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.96+5.04vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.35+3.27vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.27+0.45vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.51+0.92vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.29+0.39vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.57-1.29vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.15-1.28vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.39-4.90vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.11+0.27vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University1.45-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.04Roger Williams University1.960.1%1st Place
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5.27University of Rhode Island2.350.1%1st Place
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3.45Brown University3.270.2%1st Place
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4.92Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.39Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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4.71Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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5.72Roger Williams University2.150.1%1st Place
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3.1Dartmouth College3.390.2%1st Place
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9.27McGill University-0.110.0%1st Place
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7.12Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Rudkin | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 4.4% |
| Ian White | 9.1% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 1.3% |
| Nathan Allman | 20.6% | 20.2% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Cole Rice | 9.0% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 1.2% |
| Christopher Jensen | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 2.9% |
| Rolfe Glover | 12.8% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Mark Gargula | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 2.4% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 24.8% | 21.8% | 17.4% | 13.6% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| James Paolino | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 11.4% | 73.8% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 16.2% | 27.8% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.