← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Berkeley-0.09+3.96vs Predicted
-
2California Poly Maritime Academy1.20+0.69vs Predicted
-
3Northwestern University-0.29+2.23vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Cruz0.24+0.25vs Predicted
-
5University of Oregon0.32-0.93vs Predicted
-
6University of Washington0.18-1.50vs Predicted
-
7Western Washington University0.67-3.35vs Predicted
-
8Oregon State University-1.00-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.96University of California at Berkeley-0.098.6%1st Place
-
2.69California Poly Maritime Academy1.2029.7%1st Place
-
5.23Northwestern University-0.296.9%1st Place
-
4.25University of California at Santa Cruz0.2411.6%1st Place
-
4.07University of Oregon0.3214.2%1st Place
-
4.5University of Washington0.1810.3%1st Place
-
3.65Western Washington University0.6715.7%1st Place
-
6.66Oregon State University-1.003.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Lisle | 8.6% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 19.7% | 11.9% |
| Ryan Downey | 29.7% | 24.2% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Gabriel Abbott | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 21.0% | 15.6% |
| Hunter Holguin | 11.6% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 4.9% |
| Dylan Murphy | 14.2% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 4.3% |
| Jaden Unruh | 10.3% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 13.0% | 6.6% |
| Dalton Lovett | 15.7% | 17.4% | 17.8% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 6.2% | 2.1% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 14.7% | 54.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.