← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California2.93+0.79vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida-1.04+2.85vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College1.85-0.23vs Predicted
-
5Florida Institute of Technology2.02-2.34vs Predicted
-
6University of Miami1.72-3.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.79University of Southern California2.930.5%1st Place
-
4.85University of South Florida-1.040.0%1st Place
-
2.77Eckerd College1.850.2%1st Place
-
2.66Florida Institute of Technology2.020.2%1st Place
-
2.94University of Miami1.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Hecht | 50.1% | 27.7% | 15.8% | 6.0% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Hamby | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 92.2% |
| Bradford Cederberg | 15.9% | 23.9% | 30.3% | 27.3% | 2.6% |
| Natalie Ferris | 18.8% | 27.1% | 25.5% | 26.9% | 1.7% |
| Matthew Sussmane | 14.5% | 19.5% | 26.5% | 36.4% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.