← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington-0.56+2.17vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University-0.51+1.09vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington0.44-0.97vs Predicted
-
4University of Oregon-0.82-0.38vs Predicted
-
5California Poly Maritime Academy-1.94-0.05vs Predicted
-
6Oregon State University-1.31-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.17University of Washington-0.5616.5%1st Place
-
3.09Western Washington University-0.5117.8%1st Place
-
2.03University of Washington0.4441.9%1st Place
-
3.62University of Oregon-0.8211.5%1st Place
-
4.95California Poly Maritime Academy-1.943.9%1st Place
-
4.15Oregon State University-1.318.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren McClintock | 16.5% | 19.7% | 22.9% | 18.9% | 15.9% | 6.2% |
| Anna Morrow | 17.8% | 20.6% | 21.6% | 21.4% | 12.3% | 6.2% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 41.9% | 28.7% | 17.2% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Sadie Creemer | 11.5% | 15.7% | 17.9% | 21.6% | 21.3% | 12.0% |
| Julia Mast | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 20.4% | 52.4% |
| Aaron Heard | 8.5% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 19.4% | 26.8% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.