← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California Poly Maritime Academy1.20+1.66vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University0.67+1.62vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Berkeley-0.09+1.99vs Predicted
-
4University of Oregon0.32+0.09vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Cruz0.24-0.64vs Predicted
-
6Oregon State University-1.00+0.54vs Predicted
-
7Northwestern University-0.29-1.75vs Predicted
-
8University of Washington0.18-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.66California Poly Maritime Academy1.2029.5%1st Place
-
3.62Western Washington University0.6718.2%1st Place
-
4.99University of California at Berkeley-0.097.6%1st Place
-
4.09University of Oregon0.3212.3%1st Place
-
4.36University of California at Santa Cruz0.2411.9%1st Place
-
6.54Oregon State University-1.003.2%1st Place
-
5.25Northwestern University-0.295.9%1st Place
-
4.47University of Washington0.1811.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Downey | 29.5% | 24.1% | 19.9% | 13.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Dalton Lovett | 18.2% | 15.9% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 2.1% |
| Ethan Lisle | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 17.9% | 12.7% |
| Dylan Murphy | 12.3% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 9.3% | 4.7% |
| Hunter Holguin | 11.9% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 7.0% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 16.2% | 49.8% |
| Gabriel Abbott | 5.9% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 16.3% | 20.8% | 15.4% |
| Jaden Unruh | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.