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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.01+3.56vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy0.21+4.97vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.08+1.52vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.82+1.43vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.43+1.23vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.00-1.23vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.34-0.33vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.57+1.18vs Predicted
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9Harvard University-0.07-1.25vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-0.40-1.28vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.25-3.03vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University0.20-5.06vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-1.61-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.0114.4%1st Place
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6.97U. S. Naval Academy0.217.2%1st Place
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4.52Brown University1.0815.0%1st Place
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5.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.8210.8%1st Place
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6.23Tufts University0.438.0%1st Place
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4.77Northeastern University1.0014.1%1st Place
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6.67University of Rhode Island0.346.5%1st Place
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9.18Princeton University-0.573.0%1st Place
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7.75Harvard University-0.075.1%1st Place
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8.72University of Vermont-0.403.4%1st Place
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7.97Boston University0.255.1%1st Place
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6.94Northwestern University0.206.3%1st Place
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11.28University of California at Los Angeles-1.610.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomas Riccio | 14.4% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Martin | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 2.6% |
| Julian Dahiya | 15.0% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Karya Basaraner | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 8.0% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 14.1% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Pierson Falk | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| William Roberts | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 18.3% | 15.8% |
| Xavier Ayala Vermont | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 5.2% |
| William Gear | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 10.7% |
| Richard Kalich | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 5.3% |
| Charles Crowell | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 2.1% |
| John Flanagan | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 14.9% | 54.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.