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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-0.56+2.14vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.44-0.02vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.51+0.19vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-0.82-0.41vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy-1.94-0.05vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University-1.31-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14University of Washington-0.5616.3%1st Place
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1.98University of Washington0.4444.8%1st Place
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3.19Western Washington University-0.5115.7%1st Place
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3.59University of Oregon-0.8211.3%1st Place
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4.95California Poly Maritime Academy-1.944.0%1st Place
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4.15Oregon State University-1.318.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren McClintock | 16.3% | 19.3% | 24.1% | 19.4% | 15.8% | 5.1% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 44.8% | 27.6% | 16.1% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Anna Morrow | 15.7% | 20.5% | 21.9% | 19.8% | 15.6% | 6.6% |
| Sadie Creemer | 11.3% | 16.0% | 18.8% | 21.7% | 21.0% | 11.2% |
| Julia Mast | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 12.2% | 17.0% | 54.0% |
| Aaron Heard | 8.0% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 18.6% | 27.6% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.