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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.93+0.77vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.85+0.83vs Predicted
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3Florida Institute of Technology2.02-0.38vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.72-1.07vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida-1.04-0.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.77University of Southern California2.930.5%1st Place
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2.83Eckerd College1.850.2%1st Place
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2.62Florida Institute of Technology2.020.2%1st Place
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2.93University of Miami1.720.1%1st Place
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4.85University of South Florida-1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Hecht | 50.2% | 29.4% | 13.7% | 6.4% | 0.3% |
| Bradford Cederberg | 15.1% | 22.8% | 28.8% | 30.2% | 3.1% |
| Natalie Ferris | 19.8% | 26.8% | 26.7% | 25.4% | 1.3% |
| Matthew Sussmane | 14.2% | 19.8% | 28.8% | 33.0% | 4.2% |
| Thomas Hamby | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 5.0% | 91.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.