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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-0.56+2.10vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.44-0.02vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.51+0.10vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy-1.94+0.96vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University-1.31-0.75vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-0.82-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1University of Washington-0.5617.9%1st Place
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1.98University of Washington0.4442.7%1st Place
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3.1Western Washington University-0.5118.1%1st Place
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4.96California Poly Maritime Academy-1.943.5%1st Place
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4.25Oregon State University-1.316.5%1st Place
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3.61University of Oregon-0.8211.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren McClintock | 17.9% | 19.4% | 21.9% | 21.1% | 14.9% | 4.8% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 42.7% | 30.4% | 16.6% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Anna Morrow | 18.1% | 20.0% | 22.0% | 20.1% | 13.8% | 6.1% |
| Julia Mast | 3.5% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 20.6% | 51.4% |
| Aaron Heard | 6.5% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 18.1% | 25.9% | 26.0% |
| Sadie Creemer | 11.3% | 15.5% | 17.9% | 22.0% | 21.9% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.