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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.20+1.64vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.67+1.59vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.18+1.36vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon0.32+0.02vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.24-0.74vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.09-1.09vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.63-1.22vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University-1.00-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64California Poly Maritime Academy1.2030.1%1st Place
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3.59Western Washington University0.6717.3%1st Place
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4.36University of Washington0.1810.3%1st Place
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4.02University of Oregon0.3215.0%1st Place
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4.26University of California at Santa Cruz0.2411.4%1st Place
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4.91University of California at Berkeley-0.097.8%1st Place
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5.78Northwestern University-0.635.0%1st Place
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6.43Oregon State University-1.003.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Downey | 30.1% | 23.9% | 18.9% | 13.4% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Dalton Lovett | 17.3% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 17.1% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Jaden Unruh | 10.3% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 5.5% |
| Dylan Murphy | 15.0% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 4.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 11.4% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 5.2% |
| Ethan Lisle | 7.8% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 18.1% | 18.4% | 9.8% |
| Luke Notkin | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 15.8% | 22.9% | 25.9% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 16.7% | 47.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.