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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.93+0.78vs Predicted
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2Florida Institute of Technology2.02+0.65vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida-1.04+1.83vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.72-1.08vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.85-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.78University of Southern California2.930.5%1st Place
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2.65Florida Institute of Technology2.020.2%1st Place
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4.83University of South Florida-1.040.0%1st Place
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2.92University of Miami1.720.1%1st Place
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2.82Eckerd College1.850.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Hecht | 50.9% | 27.5% | 14.5% | 6.5% | 0.6% |
| Natalie Ferris | 17.9% | 28.2% | 27.6% | 24.1% | 2.2% |
| Thomas Hamby | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.7% | 6.0% | 89.6% |
| Matthew Sussmane | 13.9% | 21.2% | 26.9% | 34.6% | 3.4% |
| Bradford Cederberg | 16.3% | 22.4% | 28.3% | 28.8% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.