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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.72+1.97vs Predicted
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2Florida Institute of Technology2.02+0.65vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.85-0.21vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.93-3.24vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida-1.04-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97University of Miami1.720.1%1st Place
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2.65Florida Institute of Technology2.020.2%1st Place
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2.79Eckerd College1.850.2%1st Place
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1.76University of Southern California2.930.5%1st Place
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4.84University of South Florida-1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Sussmane | 13.8% | 20.5% | 25.7% | 35.2% | 4.8% |
| Natalie Ferris | 18.3% | 26.8% | 28.8% | 23.9% | 2.2% |
| Bradford Cederberg | 17.0% | 22.7% | 27.6% | 30.1% | 2.6% |
| Matthew Hecht | 50.4% | 28.5% | 15.8% | 5.1% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Hamby | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 5.7% | 90.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.