← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California Poly Maritime Academy1.20+1.61vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington0.18+2.27vs Predicted
-
3University of Oregon0.32+0.92vs Predicted
-
4Northwestern University-0.63+1.62vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Berkeley-0.51+0.45vs Predicted
-
6Oregon State University-1.00+0.40vs Predicted
-
7Western Washington University0.67-3.46vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Cruz0.24-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.61California Poly Maritime Academy1.2030.6%1st Place
-
4.27University of Washington0.1811.8%1st Place
-
3.92University of Oregon0.3212.8%1st Place
-
5.62Northwestern University-0.635.9%1st Place
-
5.45University of California at Berkeley-0.515.8%1st Place
-
6.4Oregon State University-1.003.8%1st Place
-
3.54Western Washington University0.6717.2%1st Place
-
4.21University of California at Santa Cruz0.2412.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Downey | 30.6% | 23.8% | 21.0% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Jaden Unruh | 11.8% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 17.2% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 5.6% |
| Dylan Murphy | 12.8% | 17.0% | 14.6% | 16.1% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 8.8% | 3.0% |
| Luke Notkin | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 23.8% | 21.2% |
| Guillaume Collin | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 17.5% | 19.5% | 19.6% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 12.7% | 18.5% | 43.6% |
| Dalton Lovett | 17.2% | 18.6% | 16.2% | 17.2% | 13.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 2.1% |
| Hunter Holguin | 12.1% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 16.3% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 10.2% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.