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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-0.56+2.11vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon-0.82+1.62vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University-1.31+1.15vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy-1.94+0.93vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.51-1.83vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.44-3.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11University of Washington-0.5616.7%1st Place
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3.62University of Oregon-0.8212.2%1st Place
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4.15Oregon State University-1.317.4%1st Place
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4.93California Poly Maritime Academy-1.945.0%1st Place
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3.17Western Washington University-0.5116.7%1st Place
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2.02University of Washington0.4442.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren McClintock | 16.7% | 20.5% | 22.4% | 21.2% | 13.9% | 5.3% |
| Sadie Creemer | 12.2% | 15.2% | 17.3% | 20.9% | 22.4% | 11.8% |
| Aaron Heard | 7.4% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 19.8% | 25.2% | 23.2% |
| Julia Mast | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 20.5% | 52.2% |
| Anna Morrow | 16.7% | 19.8% | 22.3% | 19.8% | 14.4% | 7.0% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 42.1% | 29.5% | 16.6% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.