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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.20+1.56vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.67+1.47vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon0.32+0.97vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.18+0.26vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.63+0.66vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.24-1.79vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.51-1.58vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University-1.00-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56California Poly Maritime Academy1.2030.8%1st Place
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3.47Western Washington University0.6717.5%1st Place
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3.97University of Oregon0.3213.6%1st Place
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4.26University of Washington0.1811.8%1st Place
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5.66Northwestern University-0.635.3%1st Place
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4.21University of California at Santa Cruz0.2411.4%1st Place
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5.42University of California at Berkeley-0.516.1%1st Place
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6.45Oregon State University-1.003.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Downey | 30.8% | 26.6% | 18.1% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Dalton Lovett | 17.5% | 17.5% | 19.4% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Dylan Murphy | 13.6% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 4.0% |
| Jaden Unruh | 11.8% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 4.7% |
| Luke Notkin | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 21.8% | 22.9% |
| Hunter Holguin | 11.4% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 9.8% | 4.7% |
| Guillaume Collin | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 21.1% | 18.9% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 20.3% | 43.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.