← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Miami1.26+1.68vs Predicted
-
2University of Miami1.45+0.50vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College2.09-1.14vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida0.87-1.00vs Predicted
-
6Florida Institute of Technology-2.88-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.68University of Miami1.260.2%1st Place
-
2.5University of Miami1.450.2%1st Place
-
1.86Eckerd College2.090.5%1st Place
-
3.0University of South Florida0.870.1%1st Place
-
4.95Florida Institute of Technology-2.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giancarlo Falconi | 18.9% | 23.6% | 28.8% | 28.0% | 0.7% |
| Kristi Townsend | 22.4% | 27.9% | 27.5% | 21.8% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Chafee | 46.6% | 28.4% | 17.1% | 7.8% | 0.1% |
| Megan Hostetter | 12.0% | 19.6% | 26.1% | 40.6% | 1.7% |
| Patrick Clark | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 97.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.