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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.44+0.96vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.56+1.14vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University-1.31+1.17vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-0.82-0.36vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.51-1.89vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy-1.94-1.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.96University of Washington0.4444.4%1st Place
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3.14University of Washington-0.5617.8%1st Place
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4.17Oregon State University-1.316.7%1st Place
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3.64University of Oregon-0.8210.8%1st Place
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3.11Western Washington University-0.5116.3%1st Place
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4.98California Poly Maritime Academy-1.944.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Delasanta | 44.4% | 28.5% | 16.8% | 7.8% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Lauren McClintock | 17.8% | 18.7% | 22.7% | 19.2% | 15.0% | 6.5% |
| Aaron Heard | 6.7% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 17.9% | 27.5% | 22.8% |
| Sadie Creemer | 10.8% | 15.9% | 17.3% | 22.9% | 21.1% | 12.1% |
| Anna Morrow | 16.3% | 21.1% | 22.5% | 20.6% | 14.2% | 5.2% |
| Julia Mast | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 11.6% | 20.0% | 53.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.