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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.67+2.62vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.20+0.66vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.18+1.28vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon0.32+0.02vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.24-0.76vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.29-0.81vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.51-1.49vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University-1.00-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62Western Washington University0.6716.9%1st Place
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2.66California Poly Maritime Academy1.2031.2%1st Place
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4.28University of Washington0.1811.9%1st Place
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4.02University of Oregon0.3212.7%1st Place
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4.24University of California at Santa Cruz0.2411.9%1st Place
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5.19Northwestern University-0.296.8%1st Place
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5.51University of California at Berkeley-0.514.9%1st Place
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6.49Oregon State University-1.003.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton Lovett | 16.9% | 17.1% | 17.4% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 1.7% |
| Ryan Downey | 31.2% | 23.7% | 17.1% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Jaden Unruh | 11.9% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 6.0% |
| Dylan Murphy | 12.7% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 4.3% |
| Hunter Holguin | 11.9% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 5.9% |
| Gabriel Abbott | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 19.6% | 15.0% |
| Guillaume Collin | 4.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 21.9% | 20.3% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 18.4% | 46.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.