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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State Behrend0.41+2.41vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University0.19+1.38vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.16-0.67vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology0.62-1.13vs Predicted
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5Mercyhurst University-0.76-0.05vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-0.70-1.11vs Predicted
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7Indiana University of Pennsylvania-1.83-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41Penn State Behrend0.4114.4%1st Place
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3.38Syracuse University0.1916.6%1st Place
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2.33Queen's University1.1634.2%1st Place
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2.87Rochester Institute of Technology0.6223.2%1st Place
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4.95Mercyhurst University-0.764.6%1st Place
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4.89Penn State University-0.705.5%1st Place
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6.16Indiana University of Pennsylvania-1.831.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Farrar | 14.4% | 17.7% | 18.9% | 22.6% | 15.8% | 8.5% | 2.1% |
| Alexa Whitman | 16.6% | 16.8% | 19.6% | 19.6% | 16.8% | 8.6% | 2.1% |
| James Fair | 34.2% | 27.0% | 19.9% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Nehuel Armenanzas | 23.2% | 22.6% | 21.1% | 16.9% | 10.7% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
| Jacob Fritts | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 21.4% | 29.4% | 17.1% |
| Joseph Simpkins | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 21.9% | 29.8% | 15.2% |
| Serena Aumick | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 17.2% | 62.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.