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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+4.36vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.50+3.93vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.61+0.56vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.78+1.44vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin2.61+2.87vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.76-0.65vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.80+0.31vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College3.83-2.99vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University4.51-5.29vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.50-4.17vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.29-0.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.36St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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5.93U. S. Naval Academy3.500.1%1st Place
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3.56College of Charleston4.610.2%1st Place
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5.44College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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7.87University of Wisconsin2.610.0%1st Place
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5.35Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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7.31University of South Florida2.800.1%1st Place
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5.01Eckerd College3.830.1%1st Place
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3.71Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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5.83Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.63Northwestern University0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Magill | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Christina Pryne | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 0.9% |
| Allison Blecher | 20.8% | 17.8% | 16.3% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Shannon Heausler | 8.0% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 0.4% |
| Christine Porter | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 15.9% | 33.2% | 6.2% |
| Stephanie Roble | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 0.4% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 17.8% | 23.8% | 4.2% |
| Cara Vavolotis | 10.7% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Sydney Bolger | 19.0% | 19.6% | 15.9% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Claire Dennis | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 8.1% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Hughes | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 86.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.